The Kremlin has a different view of the war with Turkey, than a war with Ukraine, despite the fact that neither one of them is not officially declared, as it allows him to pretend that Russia has no one to fight.

Putin and Assad
as expected, launched an offensive in the Syrian governorate of Idlib with the aim
the capture of the town of Khan shaykhun, who gained international fame in 2017 after
the use of chemical weapons, which killed about 90 civilians. Information reports “Диалог.UA” referring to the “Browser”.

The result
the current attack on Khan shaykhun was easy to foresee: hidden hybrid,
but apparently “polite” war of Russia with Turkey, begins to transform
in typical war on foreign soil according to the scheme: fighting here, and traded here.

In fact, to
The first world war, this scheme was fought many wars, most often
colonial. England could fight with Spain in America, but in Europe
merchant ships of both countries could come to their ports. All hung from the glow
passions.

Russia, starting in
XVIII century numerous wars with Turkey, is not always in combat
the action continued with her trade. In the Netherlands during the revolution and war with
Spain question, is it possible to trade with Spain were discussed not less actively and
emotionally, than Ukraine, – is it possible to trade with Russia during the war.
It is interesting that in Spain the topic: is it possible to trade with the rebels
The Netherlands, not discussed, just as in Russia do not discuss
the morality of trade with Ukraine during the war. Do not discuss because
Moscow considers Ukraine as its property, just as in Madrid
The Netherlands were viewed as their rightful possession, making the termination
trade with them is illogical.

Partly for this
the reason the Kremlin has another perspective on the war with Turkey, than to war with Ukraine
despite the fact that neither one of them is not officially declared, as it allows him
to pretend that Russia has no one to fight. Cost Turkey in the fall of 2015
to shoot down Russian military aircraft invading its airspace,
as Moscow banned trade with Turkey and travel to it citizens of the Russian Federation. But sale
gas Turkey did not stop, and even threatened to freeze the Turks, unlike
Ukrainians. No matter how how, but Turkey’s second largest buyer of gas from Russia after
Germany, which Moscow already repeatedly blackmailed termination
gas transit through Ukraine. If all be drummed out of gas, so you can own
burst from his flock.

If the Kremlin is
with Ukraine “rude” undeclared war with Turkey he leads
war on “polite”. There are many differences. First of all that your fighting
actions against Ukraine he is accompanied by rapid ukrainofobsky information
company, including the denial of the existence of the Ukrainian nation and the country
and the state of Ukraine. To question the existence of Turkey and Turks in Russia itself
yet could not afford, but it can be. I can hear Russian, they
such unpredictable.

The Kremlin does not require
from Turkey to become a Federation or something, change the Constitution, and
also declare Russian the second official language. Moscow does not require
UN security Council emergency meetings because of the internal political situation in Turkey and
not scribbling at her slander in the UN on Ukraine. The Kremlin does not allow himself to
information and diplomatic space very much against Turkey,
that he allows himself in regard to Ukraine.

Officially, Russia
friends with Turkey, unlike Ukraine, Putin flew to Ankara, but can not
to fly to Kiev. Russia is not friendly with Ukraine, but sells it with the scandals and
restrictive prohibitions, and with a friendly Turkey. In this aspect
no particular difference, except that the Kremlin is ready to sell gas to Turkey, but
prohibits the import of her tomatoes, but with Ukraine on the contrary, the gas can not, tomatoes
can.

Main
the feature of “polite” war with Turkey is that it flows
through its Straits of the Russian military equipment, arms and ammunition, of which
then in Syria kill Turkish soldiers. This is not a pretentious figure of speech. In
the course of “operation Olive branch” in Afrin, Kurdish allies of al-Assad
killed Turkish soldiers with bullets, made and imported from the Russian Federation. No
other weapons the Kurdish fighters were not and never could be the same
geographical reason no other weapons, except
Russian, there can be the notorious “militia of Donbass”.
Many of the weapons and explosives used in Turkey Kurdish
terrorist groups, also produced in Russia or are purchased for
them by the Kremlin, and can be delivered to them only from controlled territories of the Russian Federation and
Iran. On other routes, all this can not be imported to Turkey or to produce
illegal in it.

The result
Turkey is probably the only country in the world for all its history, which
pass through its territory the weapons being used against her, let
and to a limited extent. The undeclared Russian-Turkish war in Syria and
partly on the territory of Turkey is the most “polite” war in
history. Erdogan is forced to receive Putin in Ankara, to shake his hand and
hold them together with a press conference, while Putin to Kiev to fly
can not, and Poroshenko shook hands with him only on 26 August 2014 in Minsk, when
regular Russian army moved to Donetsk region. Shake to stop her
promotion and to reassure a concerned European Union, then presented in Minsk
Baroness Catherine Ashton, and the two commissioners. Later Poroshenko
defiantly the hands of Putin is not filed, despite the pressure “deep
concerned about” the UN and the tradition of diplomatic Protocol.

But this
“polite” Russian-Turkish war in the near future maybe
be “rude” to war, very similar to the Russian-Ukrainian
war. The reason Assad and Putin on 19 August managed to bring creeping
the offensive, launched on may 9, prior to its ultimate goal – the exit toward Khan Sheyhun.
On the morning of 20 August, the Syrian national army and guerrilla groups were not
to continue the defense of Khan Shaykhun and left it. Moreover, they also left
an area of about 10 sq km to the South of Khan shaykhun, which was to be
after his capture by asadovtsami in the “pot”. The decision to retreat was
taken last night in Ankara, which deprived the Russian propagandists and
military journalists the opportunity to talk about the “pot” under
Khan Sheyhun. They love the word “pot” in the spring of 1943 in order To not
loved because of Kiev and other “boiler”, which got Red
army, but after the Stalingrad “cauldron” they just
“incurred”. Yesterday they had begun to find the name for the beloved word without
mention of Khan shaykhun, in order to remind them of the chemical attack, 2017, but it
not needed.

In spite of their
expectations and the expectations of the Kremlin, the Syrians and the Turks were not to cling to the area
despite the fact that on August 16 he began arriving reinforcements to the Syrian
national army to strengthen the guerrilla opposition groups. Turkish
officers located 10 km South of Khan shaykhun its Supervisory
the item confidently said that will not leave him even in the “worst case”.
This “worst case” for them would be getting into the “pot”
together with the Syrian guerrillas. All observers expected that there will be a large
the battle and with the involvement of the Turkish army, but on the night of 20 August in Ankara
for some reason my mind to give it.

Change your mind
despite sending 19 August a column of seven tanks on autoplatforms and other
military equipment to Khan Sheyhun, which has undergone a preventive strike
aviation of Assad. If you count the creeping offensive launched by asadovtsami may 9,
the first “red line” that crossed the Kremlin, in this “polite”
the war, the attack aircraft of the convoy was the second, it has breached the “red
line”.

The President Of Turkey
promptly protested to Moscow, what the hell is this: in 5 hours and 30 minutes we
you agreed to pass a column to our observation point No. 9 and 8
hours and 55 minutes you bombed, which killed 3 and wounded 12 civilians
the Syrian citizens. For that in Moscow, said all the dead and wounded were
incorrigible jihadists and terrorists.

For such a reaction
The President of Turkey was to be expected that violation of this agreement and
the “red line” No. 2 Moscow and Assad will not get away with it and “polite”
the war will become “impolite”. Moreover, sooner or
later, it will happen, as consider in the Kremlin.

However, contrary
expectations, this will not happen this week, judging by the fact that in Ankara
decided not to play in the “boilers”, their breakthroughs, and other such military
strategy. It is not excluded, the Turks forced the night from the Kremlin agreed to exchange
the area around Khan shaykhun on the area around Tel afar, a city North of Aleppo.
Nominally, this area controls the PKK and in 2018 during
operation “Olive branch”, the Turks and the Syrian army he was not taken
the request of Moscow, unlike the district of Afrin.

As formally
“Olive branch” is not stopped, and Asad got the area of Khan Shaykhun, then
for Erdogan, it is appropriate to demand that Putin “barter” area
Tel Afar. Since September 11, is scheduled to meet Iran, Russia and Turkey
in the framework of the Astana-sharing agreements between Syria into “zones
de-escalation”, that to this date the exchange of territories must be in practice
committed, and at the meeting recognized this fact. Of course, if the Kremlin again, not
retract your “word of honor” – because they are
difficult to predict.

“Polite”
the Russian-Turkish war will inevitably become “rude” in a completely
foreseeable future: either to September 11 or in 2020 after the completion of
the heating season in Turkey.

Dependence on
gas from Russia is probably the only good reason that keeps Turkey from
to translate the war into the “rude” phase, in which it
was about a year between the downed aircraft-attack aircraft of the Russian Federation and failed
the coup in Ankara. This transition is facilitated as the arrogance of the Kremlin, and success
Turkey’s diversification of sources of gas. Turkey were even lucky
proved to be of immense gas reserves have her hand on the shelf of the Aegean sea and
near Cyprus. Now she has two problems: to start mining it and settle it with
Cyprus and Greece that are also applying, but they can not get.
To solve the first problem the Turks have so far managed better than the second, but it seems that the new “South
stream” from the Krasnodar region to Turkey will be not much less unprofitable
project than the “Nord stream-2”.

We will remind, Putin struck the Russians what frightened the whole world.